The above-mentioned scenario is one of few scenarios that involve missing of bitcoins. Studying the same, Chainalysis, via Fortune, has found out that about 3.79 million Bitcoins are out of circulation, according to a high estimation. This accounts for about $30 billion.
As a result, when all 21 million Bitcoins will be mined by the year 2040, the total numbers available for trading would be significantly lower.
The analysis made here depends on segmenting the existing bitcoin supply based on age and transaction activity. The company also used statistical sampling for some segments.
In another table of the same data, which is shown above, the “mined coins” section reflects the ones mined in 2017; “transactional” section refers to those coins that were moved/spend last year. There is also a category of “holder” — these are Bitcoins which might have the possibility of being hoarded as well.
It would be safe to say that this loss of Bitcoin will occur in the future as well. However, this rate will decline significantly as they’re now so valuable.
A big assumption in the study of Chainalysis deals with Bitcoin’s inventor, Satoshi Nakamoto. Wallets associated with Satoshi have been assumed to be lost. In case, in future, if this assumption turns out to be wrong, there would be a sudden increase in the number of Bitcoins in the market.